Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Fri, 19 Sep '25)

The forthcoming clash in Liga 1, Clausura is set to unfold at the Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega Stadium in Peru on Friday, 19th September 2025, at local time. Evaluating the recent encounters between these two teams, Deportivo Garcilaso and Melgar have each secured a victory, alongside a solitary draw over their last three meetings.

In their most recent face-off, Deportivo Garcilaso achieved a 2-1 triumph over Melgar, playing as the away team on Friday, 18th April 2025. Analyzing their current form leading into this matchup, Deportivo Garcilaso has shown significant momentum by overcoming Alianza Lima 4-3. In contrast, Melgar succumbed to a 1-2 defeat at the hands of Universitario.

Domestically, Deportivo Garcilaso holds the third position on the table, while Melgar is placed considerably lower, in the 12th position. Both teams present key players to watch; Melgar will need to strategize against Deportivo Garcilaso's leading scorer, P. Erustes, who boasts 12 goals this season. On the flip side, Deportivo Garcilaso must pay attention to C. Bordacahar, Melgar's top assist provider with five assists.

The top player ratings for Deportivo Garcilaso are: Kevin Sandoval at 7.41, Pablo Erustes at 7.32, and Patrick Zubczuk at 7.26. For Melgar, the standout performers include: Kenji Cabrera with a rating of 7.42, Tomás Martínez at 7.19, and Jhonny Vidales at 7.16.

This season, Deportivo Garcilaso's average possession stands at 37.04%, while Melgar maintains a higher percentage at 55.69%. For corner statistics, Deportivo Garcilaso averages 4 corners per match, compared to Melgar's 5.92. Turning to discipline, Deportivo Garcilaso has accumulated 80 yellow cards, 11 red cards, and conceded six penalty goals, while Melgar has received 65 yellow cards, 5 red cards, and conceded two penalty goals so far this season.

Considering these statistics, despite Melgar's superior possession percentage, the defensive vulnerabilities may prove decisive, offering Deportivo Garcilaso a slight edge. Analyzing both teams' current form and performance metrics suggests that Deportivo Garcilaso comes into this match with slight superiority, potentially positioning them as the predicted winners.