New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF: Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Stats (Wed, 24 Sep '25)

As the excitement builds for the upcoming MLS showdown at Citi Field in the USA on Wednesday, September 24th, 2025, fans and analysts alike are left pondering one question: who holds the upper hand? As these two teams clash once again, we dive into their stats, player performances, and historical encounters to uncover the answer.

How have these teams fared against each other in their last few encounters? Surprisingly, neither New York City FC nor Inter Miami CF has tasted victory in their previous three head-to-head meetings, each match ending in a draw. The most recent encounter on February 23, 2025, was no exception, as they concluded with equal scores on the board. This suggests a captivating battle is on the cards, as both sides seek to break this stalemate streak.

Looking into their momentum ahead of this match, both teams are brimming with confidence. New York City FC recently secured a hard-fought 3-2 victory against Columbus Crew while Inter Miami CF celebrated a convincing 3-1 win over Seattle Sounders FC. With NYC FC sitting at fifth in their domestic league and Inter Miami at sixth, the competition is fierce and the stakes high.

In the realm of player performances, New York City FC's A. Martínez emerges as a crucial figure, having netted an impressive 15 goals this season. On the other side, Inter Miami CF will be counting on their playmaker, L. Suárez, who has provided 10 assists so far. These two players could very well be the game-changers when the teams face off on Wednesday.

Analyzing the top player ratings, New York City FC’s standout performers include Tomás Romero with a 7.27 rating, Maxi Moralez at 7.26, and Nicolás Fernández shortly behind at 7.25. For Inter Miami CF, the luminary Lionel Messi leads the pack with a stellar 8.35, followed by Luis Suárez at 7.39 and Jordi Alba at 7.26. Clearly, there is no shortage of talent on either side.

Possession and strategic play will be pivotal in this encounter. New York City FC averages 55.1% possession compared to Inter Miami CF's slightly higher 56.3%. Interestingly, both teams find common ground when it comes to corners, each averaging 5.07 per game. However, discipline could become a decisive factor, with New York City having received 50 yellow cards, 1 red, and conceding 3 penalties to Inter Miami’s 63 yellow, 1 red, and the same penalty count.

After analyzing these elements, is it possible to predict a victor? The stats suggest a highly competitive match, but Inter Miami CF might just have the edge with their slightly better possession percentage and the brilliance of Lionel Messi steering the ship. Will New York City FC finally break their draw streak against Inter Miami, or will Messi and his team seize the day? Our prediction leans towards Inter Miami CF clinching this one, though only the game itself will reveal the final truth.