Luciano Darderi vs Thiago Moura Monteiro Prediction – ATP Genova Challenger – 5th September 2025 Best Bets

Luciano Darderi and Thiago Moura Monteiro Prediction Head To Head Summary

Darderi vs Monteiro Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Darderi has a 77.52% chance to win this match.

Darderi → 1.29. Monteiro → 4.39.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Darderi vs Monteiro Upcoming Match Details:

Darderi will play Monteiro on Clay court in the Quarterfinals at the ATP Genova Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 5th September 2025.

Head-to-Head: Darderi 1-1 Monteiro

The current Head to Head score is 1-1. Darderi comes into this match with a ranking of 34 , while Monteiro is ranked 169.

Darderi vs Monteiro Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Monteiro has won 46% of points on his second serve, while Darderi has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Monteiro has won 24% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Darderi has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Monteiro has been saving 51% of his breakpoints, and Darderi has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Monteiro performs best on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 433/289) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 9/14). Darderi performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 179/98), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 17% (W/L 1/5).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Thiago Moura Monteiro has converted 33% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Luciano Darderi has converted 31% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Luciano Darderi played Dmitry Popko in the Second round at the Genova Challenger and won 6-3 6-3 in 01:10:15 . Thiago Moura Monteiro played Enrico Dalla Valle in the Second round at the Genova Challenger and won 6-4 7-6(1) in 01:43:29.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Luciano Darderi and Thiago Moura Monteiro

Of their last 10 matches played, Darderi has won 7, while Monteiro has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Darderi has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 161.37 , while Monteiro has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 251.02.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Darderi Vs Monteiro

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Darderi has won 9 titles in his career, while Thiago Moura Monteiro has won 16 events. Darderi has won 51% (25517 of 49690) of points played in his entire career, and Monteiro has achieved 51% (59260 of 117003). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Darderi has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (57 of 108), whereas Thiago Moura Monteiro has won 54% (227 of 419). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Luciano Darderi has an 75.58% probability of winning this match.

Luciano Darderi vs Thiago Moura Monteiro Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Luciano Darderi To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Luciano Darderi has a 75.58% chance of winning and Thiago Moura Monteiro has a 24.42% chance of taking the victory. We tip Darderi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Genova Challenger, go here.