Luciano Darderi vs Andrea Pellegrino Prediction – ATP Genova Challenger – 7th September 2025 Best Bets

Luciano Darderi and Andrea Pellegrino Prediction Head To Head Summary

Darderi vs Pellegrino Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Darderi has a 74.63% chance to win this match.

Darderi → 1.34. Pellegrino → 3.35.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Darderi vs Pellegrino Upcoming Match Details:

Darderi will play Pellegrino on Clay court in the Final at the ATP Genova Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 7th September 2025.

Head-to-Head: Darderi 1-0 Pellegrino

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Darderi comes into this match with a ranking of 34 , while Pellegrino is ranked 141.

Darderi vs Pellegrino Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Pellegrino has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Darderi has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Pellegrino has won 30% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Darderi has won 25%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 44% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Pellegrino has been saving 50% of his breakpoints, and Darderi has saved 56% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Pellegrino performs best on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 272/208) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 17% (W/L 1/5). Darderi performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 181/98), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 17% (W/L 1/5).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Andrea Pellegrino has converted 33% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Luciano Darderi has converted 30% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Luciano Darderi played Tom Gentzsch in the Semifinals at the Genova Challenger and won 3-6 7-6(5) 6-2 in 02:14:49 . Andrea Pellegrino played Stefano Travaglia in the Semifinals at the Genova Challenger and won 7-6(6) 3-6 6-4 in 02:50:04.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Luciano Darderi and Andrea Pellegrino

Of their last 10 matches played, Darderi has won 7, while Pellegrino has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay in recent matches, Darderi has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points, versus an average opponent rank of 161.37 , while Pellegrino has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points, against an average opponent rank of 263.16.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Darderi Vs Pellegrino

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Darderi has won 9 titles in his career, while Andrea Pellegrino has won 9 events. Darderi has won 51% (25687 of 50014) of points played in his entire career, and Pellegrino has achieved 50% (38885 of 77642). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Darderi has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (58 of 109), whereas Andrea Pellegrino has won 52% (92 of 176). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Luciano Darderi has an 70.91% probability of winning this match.

Luciano Darderi vs Andrea Pellegrino Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Luciano Darderi To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Luciano Darderi has a 70.91% chance of winning and Andrea Pellegrino has a 29.09% chance of taking the victory. We tip Darderi to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Genova Challenger, go here.