Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent form in second-serve points won favors Moutet at 48.78%, compared to Medvedev's 43.18%. Could this give Moutet an edge?
• Medvedev's return game stats show he wins 45.86% on second serves, closely trailed by Moutet at 46.16%.
• When it comes to returning first serves, Moutet leads with 28.62% over Medvedev's 24.58%.
• Medvedev shows better resilience by saving 58.9% of breakpoints, slightly outperforming Moutet's 56.71%.
• Overall performance from the past year favors Medvedev, who has a win percentage of 60.32% compared to Moutet's 54.69%.
• Medvedev excels on Hard surfaces with a 75% win rate, whereas Moutet favors Clay, also at 64%.
• In the past year, Medvedev has competed on the Main tour with a better success rate of 70.83% than Moutet's 53.33%.
• Historically, Medvedev has a strong record in their only direct match, winning in straight sets.
• Considering opponent quality, Medvedev has faced tougher competition, with an average opponent rank of 57.44 against Moutet's 87.55.
• Both players have a similar performance in deciding sets, each winning 56% over the past year.
• Medvedev's past breakpoint conversion rate is 30.77%, marginally lower than Moutet's 31.16%.
• Medvedev won their previous encounter in Mallorca convincingly, 6-4, 6-2.

Editorial Prediction (July 25, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the comprehensive performance metrics reveals that Medvedev and Moutet have strengths that could influence the match outcome. While Moutet excels in second-serve points and returns, Medvedev has a more versatile game that adapts well to Hard courts, his top-performing surface.

Medvedev's experience with higher-ranked opponents and his ability to save breakpoints efficiently builds a strong case for his resilience under pressure. Even though Moutet takes an edge in some return statistics, Medvedev's superior overall record on the Main tour suggests he possesses the consistency required to prevail.

Bearing in mind Medvedev's previous victory against Moutet and his slightly better past year's winning percentage, the analysis points to Medvedev as the expected favorite to win this upcoming match.