Matthew William Donald vs Nikita Mashtakov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Both players show distinct differences in their second serve performances. Mashtakov wins 46.85% of points on his second serve, surpassing Donald, who wins 40.86%.
• However, in terms of return game strengths on second serve returns, Donald is slightly superior, winning 49.48% of points compared to Mashtakov's 46.34%.
• The two players are almost even on first serve returns, with Donald at 30.75% and Mashtakov narrowly ahead at 30.81%.
• Who handles pressure better? Mashtakov, as he saves 54.01% of breakpoints, while Donald manages to save 49.47%.
• Analyzing overall performance, Donald leads slightly with a win rate of 57.97% over the last year, compared to Mashtakov's 53.45%.
• Mashtakov boasts a stronger win percentage on hard courts at 58% versus Donald's 53%, suggesting a surface advantage for Mashtakov.
• Quality of competition can be a crucial indicator. Mashtakov has faced tougher rivals with an average rank of 314.02, compared to Donald's opponents averaging rank 425.86.
• Looking at deciding sets, Donald excels with a 53% win rate over the past year in such scenarios, while Mashtakov sits significantly lower at 33%.
• Break point conversion rates are nearly identical, with Donald at 39.13% and Mashtakov at 38.32%, though Donald holds a slight edge here.

Editorial Prediction (August 26, 2025, UTC):

Mashtakov appears to have a slight edge in serving performance, particularly with his second serve, where he outperforms Donald. This could be crucial in maintaining pressure throughout the match.

Despite this, Donald showcases stronger capabilities in returning second serves, which could counterbalance Mashtakov's serving strength. Donald's slightly better performance in deciding sets gives him an advantage in potentially tight situations.

Both players have shown prowess on hard courts, but Mashtakov's higher winning percentage on this surface suggests he may feel more comfortable here. Additionally, his experience against higher-ranked opponents might provide him with an enhanced competitive edge.

Considering all the factors, while the players seem evenly matched in several areas, Mashtakov's consistency under pressure, better second serve efficacy, and hard court success suggest he is slightly favored to win the upcoming match. However, Donald's ability to handle deciding sets can't be ignored, making this a potentially close encounter.